The Indiana Fever (7-12) and Phoenix Mercury (8-8) meet Sunday at Footprint Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Fever vs. Mystics odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Jun 23, 2024; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Indiana Fever guard Caitlin Clark (22) brings the ball up court against the Chicago Sky during the first half of a basketball game at Wintrust Arena. Mandatory Credit: Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports

Season series: First meeting; Teams split 2-2 in 2023

The Fever were humbled 89-77 in Seattle on Thursday, failing to cover as a 9-point underdog as the Under (167) just hung on. Indiana saw its 5-game cover streak snapped, but an 8-0 Over run also came to an end.

Indiana is just 1-5 straight up (SU) against the Western Conference this season, while failing to cover the previous 4 against Western clubs. Despite Thursday’s Over in Seattle, the Over is 3-1 in the past 4 for the Fever against the West, while going 8-1 in the past 9 games, and 11-2 in the previous 13.

Rookie Caitlin Clark scored 15 points, including 3 treys, with 7 assists, 6 rebounds, a blocked shot and 6 turnovers in Seattle. She is the fastest player to reach 300 points, 100 assists and 100 rebounds, hitting those marks in just 19 games.

The Mercury posted a 92-78 win as a 10.5-point favorite against the Los Angeles Sparks Friday, while the Under (170.5) was able to connect.

The Merc have won 3 of the past 4 games outright, while covering at a 6-1 against the spread (ATS) clip in the past 7 outings. The Under has a slight 3-1 edge in the past 4 games, while going 8-4 in the past 12 contests.

Fever vs. Mercury WNBA prediction: Caitlin Clark one of four players projected for 20+ points tonight (6/30) - syracuse.com

Fever at Mercury odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:08 a.m. ET.

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Moneyline (ML): Fever +265 (bet $100 to win $265) | Mercury -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
Against the spread: Fever +7.5 (-112) | Mercury -7.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 173.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Fever at Mercury picks and predictions

Prediction

Mercury 89, Fever 78

Moneyline

Phoenix (-350) will cost you 3 1/2 times your potential return, and that is way too much risk for not nearly enough reward. Betting such heavy favorites like that is not a recommended long-term strategy.

Even as part of a multi-leg parlay, including the Mercury sucks all of the value out of your ticket.

PASS.

Against the spread

Play PHOENIX -7.5 (-108) laying the points against Indiana +7.5 (-112).

It was the Fever of old in Seattle, failing to cover while losing by double-digit points. Still, this could be a close game, as Indiana is still 5-1 ATS in the past 6 games despite the non-cover last time out.

The Mercury have managed to cover 6 of the past 7, and the offense has on fire lately, going for 87 or more points in 5 of the past 6 outings.

Over/Under

UNDER 173.5 (-110) is worth a look in this afternoon battle.

The Under has cashed in 3 of the past 4 games for the Mercury, while going 8-4 across the past 12 contests. The Under has cashed in 3 of the past 4 games against Eastern Conference foes, too.

For the Fever, it’s been all about the Over lately, going 8-1 in the past 9 outings. However, that lone Under result came last time out on Thursday in Seattle.